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Short- and medium-term impacts of strict anti-contagion policies on non-COVID-19 mortality in China



  • The effects of COVID-19 public health policies on non-COVID-19-related mortality are unclear.


  • Here, using death registries based on 300 million Chinese people and a difference-in-differences design, researchers found that China’s strict anti-contagion policies during the COVID-19 pandemic significantly reduced non-COVID-19 mortality outside Wuhan (by 4.6%).


  • The health benefits persisted and became even greater after the measures were loosened: mortality was reduced by 12.5% in the medium term.


  • Significant changes in people’s behaviors (for example, wearing masks and practicing social distancing) and reductions in air pollution and traffic accidents could have driven these results.


  • They estimated that 54,000 lives could have been saved from non-COVID-19 causes during the 50 days of strict policies and 293,000 in the subsequent 115 days.


  • The results suggest that virus countermeasures not only effectively controlled COVID-19 in China but also brought about unintended and substantial public health benefits.




Published: 29 November 2021




source:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-021-01189-3

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01189-3

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